Demonstration data

Every figure on this site is deterministic demonstration data. It is not a live source, not a forecast, and not a recommendation. No wagering market is connected, and nothing here should be acted on.

5. Ellerslie Race 5 (demonstration)

Ellerslie, New Zealand Thoroughbred Racing. Maiden, Open, 1200m. Times labelled "your time" are shown in UTC. This is a default, not a detection — no timezone has been set for this browser, and none has been inferred.

Complete7 of 12 evidence familiesNot published

Race overview

The conditions this race is run under. Every value is as the source published it; converted values keep the original alongside.

Meeting: Ellerslie
Course: Ellerslie
Region: NZ — New Zealand
Jurisdiction: New Zealand Thoroughbred Racing
Race number: 5
Race code: No jurisdiction-specific code is published for this race. Codes are not comparable between jurisdictions and none has been inferred.
Grade: Ungraded, or no grade is published by this jurisdiction.
Class: Open
Type: Maiden
Discipline: thoroughbred
Surface: turf
Going: Good 3
Distance: 1200m (1200m canonical)
Status: Scheduled
Field size: 16
Purse: NZD 45,000
Age restriction: No age restriction is published — the race may be open, or the condition may be unpublished. These are different, and the source does not distinguish them.
Sex restriction: No sex restriction is published.
Handicap conditions: Not a handicap, or the conditions are unpublished.
Weight conditions: No weight conditions are published for this race.
Source family: core

Scheduled time

The course timezone is known and the instant is unambiguous.

As published by the source: 14:00
Course local: 21:00 NZST
Your time: 09:00 UTC
UTC: 09:00
Scheduled time last updated: 2026-08-01T04:26:00.000Z

Field (16)

Every declared runner, plus non-runners, reserves and emergencies — all retained rather than filtered out, and each marked with its status.

The complete field, with saddle cloth, barrier, weight, connections, run style, status and evidence coverage
No.	Runner	Barrier	Weight	Jockey	Trainer	Run style	Status	Evidence
1	Meridian Drift	1	55.5kg	A. Berhane	H. Mengesha	Hold-up	Declared	6 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Stewards reports, Trainer record, Course configuration, Weight and handicap, Pedigree, Going history.
2	Quiet Arithmetic	2	53.5kg	M. Fitzgerald-Osei	E. Rothwell & Sons	On-pace	Declared	7 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Stewards reports, Barrier trials and jump-outs, Sectional times, Form history, Track bias measurements.
3	O'Callaghan's Reckoning	3	52.0kg	K. Nakamura	Y. Takahashi	Hold-up	Declared	7 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Stewards reports, Track bias measurements, Jockey record, Market observations, Weight and handicap.
4	Ná Fionnuisce	4	56.5kg	R. O'Dwyer	B. Ní Chonaill	On-pace	Declared	7 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Course configuration, Trainer record, Pedigree, Track bias measurements, Going history.
5	Vale	5	58.5kg	T. Mokoena	G. Vandermeer	Midfield	Declared	9 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Market observations, Weight and handicap, Track bias measurements.
6	Considerable Uncertainty	6	53.5kg	L. Beaumont	W. Sithole	Midfield	Declared	10 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Course configuration, Jockey record.
7	Half-Light Amendment	7	54.5kg	S. Ó Riain	F. Marchetti	Hold-up	Declared	10 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Market observations, Trainer record.
8	Bâtiment Rouge	8	55.5kg	J. Whitcombe	A. Cardoso	Midfield	Declared	8 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Stewards reports, Weight and handicap, Sectional times, Jockey record.
9	The Longest Possible Name In This Field	9	55.5kg	P. Delacroix	I. Petrov-Hale	Midfield	Declared	7 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Form history, Jockey record, Stewards reports, Going history, Trainer record.
10	Sable Interval	10	53.0kg	N. Ihaka	O. Brennan	Leader	Declared	9 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Weight and handicap, Pedigree, Going history.
11	Kōwhai Ascendant	11	53.5kg	C. Almeida	H. Mengesha	Midfield	Declared	7 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Market observations, Course configuration, Pedigree, Weight and handicap, Going history.
12	Provisional Finding	12	52.0kg	D. Vasquez	E. Rothwell & Sons	On-pace	Declared	9 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Track bias measurements, Jockey record, Trainer record.
13	Marginal Utility	13	56.5kg	A. Berhane	Y. Takahashi	Leader	Declared	7 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Trainer record, Pedigree, Course configuration, Form history, Going history.
14	Sixpenny Ledger	Not allotted	56.0kg	M. Fitzgerald-Osei	B. Ní Chonaill	On-pace	Emergency	9 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Market observations, Weight and handicap, Going history.
15	Anemone Bright	Not allotted	59.0kg	K. Nakamura	G. Vandermeer	On-pace	Reserve	7 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Stewards reports, Jockey record, Sectional times, Barrier trials and jump-outs, Track bias measurements.
16	Tōkyō Reckoner	16	58.0kg	R. O'Dwyer	W. Sithole	Midfield	Declared	8 of 12 evidence families. Unavailable: Track bias measurements, Course configuration, Weight and handicap, Trainer record.

1. Meridian Drift

Barrier: 1
Weight: 55.5kg
Jockey: A. Berhane
Trainer: H. Mengesha
Run style: Hold-up
Status: Declared
Equipment: No gear change or equipment is published.

Partial data6 of 12 evidence families

2. Quiet Arithmetic

Barrier: 2
Weight: 53.5kg
Jockey: M. Fitzgerald-Osei
Trainer: E. Rothwell & Sons
Run style: On-pace
Status: Declared
Equipment: Blinkers

Partial data7 of 12 evidence families

3. O'Callaghan's Reckoning

Barrier: 3
Weight: 52.0kg
Jockey: K. Nakamura
Trainer: Y. Takahashi
Run style: Hold-up
Status: Declared
Equipment: No gear change or equipment is published.

Partial data7 of 12 evidence families

4. Ná Fionnuisce

Barrier: 4
Weight: 56.5kg
Jockey: R. O'Dwyer
Trainer: B. Ní Chonaill
Run style: On-pace
Status: Declared
Equipment: No gear change or equipment is published.

Partial data7 of 12 evidence families

5. Vale

Barrier: 5
Weight: 58.5kg
Jockey: T. Mokoena
Trainer: G. Vandermeer
Run style: Midfield
Status: Declared
Equipment: No gear change or equipment is published.

Partial data9 of 12 evidence families

6. Considerable Uncertainty

Barrier: 6
Weight: 53.5kg
Jockey: L. Beaumont
Trainer: W. Sithole
Run style: Midfield
Status: Declared
Equipment: No gear change or equipment is published.

Partial data10 of 12 evidence families

7. Half-Light Amendment

Barrier: 7
Weight: 54.5kg
Jockey: S. Ó Riain
Trainer: F. Marchetti
Run style: Hold-up
Status: Declared
Equipment: No gear change or equipment is published.

Partial data10 of 12 evidence families

8. Bâtiment Rouge

Barrier: 8
Weight: 55.5kg
Jockey: J. Whitcombe
Trainer: A. Cardoso
Run style: Midfield
Status: Declared
Equipment: No gear change or equipment is published.

Partial data8 of 12 evidence families

9. The Longest Possible Name In This Field

Barrier: 9
Weight: 55.5kg
Jockey: P. Delacroix
Trainer: I. Petrov-Hale
Run style: Midfield
Status: Declared
Equipment: No gear change or equipment is published.

Partial data7 of 12 evidence families

10. Sable Interval

Barrier: 10
Weight: 53.0kg
Jockey: N. Ihaka
Trainer: O. Brennan
Run style: Leader
Status: Declared
Equipment: Ear muffs

Partial data9 of 12 evidence families

11. Kōwhai Ascendant

Barrier: 11
Weight: 53.5kg
Jockey: C. Almeida
Trainer: H. Mengesha
Run style: Midfield
Status: Declared
Equipment: Cross-over noseband

Partial data7 of 12 evidence families

12. Provisional Finding

Barrier: 12
Weight: 52.0kg
Jockey: D. Vasquez
Trainer: E. Rothwell & Sons
Run style: On-pace
Status: Declared
Equipment: No gear change or equipment is published.

Partial data9 of 12 evidence families

13. Marginal Utility

Barrier: 13
Weight: 56.5kg
Jockey: A. Berhane
Trainer: Y. Takahashi
Run style: Leader
Status: Declared
Equipment: No gear change or equipment is published.

Partial data7 of 12 evidence families

14. Sixpenny Ledger

Barrier: Not allotted — reserves and emergencies have no barrier until they gain a run.
Weight: 56.0kg
Jockey: M. Fitzgerald-Osei
Trainer: B. Ní Chonaill
Run style: On-pace
Status: Emergency
Equipment: No gear change or equipment is published.

Partial data9 of 12 evidence families

15. Anemone Bright

Barrier: Not allotted — reserves and emergencies have no barrier until they gain a run.
Weight: 59.0kg
Jockey: K. Nakamura
Trainer: G. Vandermeer
Run style: On-pace
Status: Reserve
Equipment: Visor

Partial data7 of 12 evidence families

16. Tōkyō Reckoner

Barrier: 16
Weight: 58.0kg
Jockey: R. O'Dwyer
Trainer: W. Sithole
Run style: Midfield
Status: Declared
Equipment: Bar plates

Partial data8 of 12 evidence families

2 of 16 listed are not a declared starter. They are retained above with their status shown, because a field with its non-runners removed reads as a smaller race than the one that was carded.

Research areas

Each area below states whether it holds demonstration data or is not yet available, and which task delivers it. Nothing here is a selection, a recommendation, a forecast or a certainty claim.

Projected pace and race shape

Demonstration data

Not available yet

Pace Research requires the research role. This capability arrives with Task 004.

Owning task: 004 — Pace Research.
Module version 0.1.0, feature state "mock".
The interface, contracts and extension point exist. Nothing is computed, so nothing is shown — an empty version of this area would be indistinguishable from one whose values happened to be missing.

Career DNA across the field

Demonstration data

Not available yet

Career DNA requires the research role. This capability arrives with Task 003.

Owning task: 003 — Career DNA.
Module version 0.1.0, feature state "mock".
The interface, contracts and extension point exist. Nothing is computed, so nothing is shown — an empty version of this area would be indistinguishable from one whose values happened to be missing.

Course, distance and condition research

Demonstration data

Not available yet

Requires evidence that is unavailable here: Track bias measurements. This capability arrives with Task 004.

Owning task: 004 — Course Research.
Module version 0.1.0, feature state "mock".
The interface, contracts and extension point exist. Nothing is computed, so nothing is shown — an empty version of this area would be indistinguishable from one whose values happened to be missing.

Probability distribution and uncertainty intervals

Design ready

Not available yet

Surfaces inside the race workspace rather than owning a route. No model exists to produce an opinion. This capability arrives with Task 005.

Owning task: 005 — Council and Probability Engine.
Module version 0.1.0, feature state "design-ready".
The interface, contracts and extension point exist. Nothing is computed, so nothing is shown — an empty version of this area would be indistinguishable from one whose values happened to be missing.

Council and model disagreement

Design ready

Not available yet

Surfaces inside the race workspace rather than owning a route. No model exists to produce an opinion. This capability arrives with Task 005.

Owning task: 005 — Council and Probability Engine.
Module version 0.1.0, feature state "design-ready".
The interface, contracts and extension point exist. Nothing is computed, so nothing is shown — an empty version of this area would be indistinguishable from one whose values happened to be missing.

Formula contributions

Design ready

Not available yet

Formula Engine requires the research role. This capability arrives with Task 002.

Owning task: 002 — Formula Engine.
Module version 0.1.0, feature state "design-ready".
The interface, contracts and extension point exist. Nothing is computed, so nothing is shown — an empty version of this area would be indistinguishable from one whose values happened to be missing.

Publication Confidence

Design ready

Not available yet

Publication Confidence requires the admin role. This capability arrives with Task 006.

Owning task: 006 — Publication Confidence.
Module version 0.1.0, feature state "design-ready".
The interface, contracts and extension point exist. Nothing is computed, so nothing is shown — an empty version of this area would be indistinguishable from one whose values happened to be missing.

Market Comparison Research

Demonstration data

Not available yet

Market Comparison Research requires the research role. This capability arrives with Task 007.

Owning task: 007 — Market Comparison Research.
Module version 0.1.0, feature state "mock".
The interface, contracts and extension point exist. Nothing is computed, so nothing is shown — an empty version of this area would be indistinguishable from one whose values happened to be missing.

Anomaly Explorer

Demonstration data

Not available yet

Anomaly Explorer requires the research role. This capability arrives with Task 008.

Owning task: 008 — Anomaly Explorer.
Module version 0.1.0, feature state "mock".
The interface, contracts and extension point exist. Nothing is computed, so nothing is shown — an empty version of this area would be indistinguishable from one whose values happened to be missing.

Similar historical races

Design ready

Not available yet

Model Evaluation requires the research role. This capability arrives with Task 009.

Owning task: 009 — Model Evaluation.
Module version 0.1.0, feature state "design-ready".
The interface, contracts and extension point exist. Nothing is computed, so nothing is shown — an empty version of this area would be indistinguishable from one whose values happened to be missing.

Missing evidence for this race

Named rather than counted. Which families are absent usually matters more than how many.

Pedigree
Jockey record
Trainer record
Weight and handicap
Track bias measurements

Result and correction history

Corrections are appended, never applied by overwriting. The original placing is retained beside any amendment.

No result

This race is scheduled. No result exists, and none is implied by the absence of one — a blank result table would be indistinguishable from a race that produced no finishers.

Model limitations

Stated plainly rather than buried.

No model exists. Task 000 builds the interface, contracts and extension points; Tasks 002 through 009 build what fills them.
Every figure on this page is deterministic demonstration data. It is not a live source, not a forecast, and not a recommendation.
Evidence coverage is a statement about what was available, not about how good it is. A race with twelve of twelve families available may still rest on thin samples within them.
Nothing in this system produces a selection, a staking instruction, a personalised wagering direction or a certainty claim, and model limitations records what has and has not been demonstrated.

Evidence and provenance

What this page rests on, what was unavailable when it was assembled, and how old the underlying data is.

Evidence coverage

Coverage is reported for the race as a whole; individual runners differ and each states its own on its profile. 7 of 12 evidence families were available. Every family is listed, present or not: a list containing only what was available would be indistinguishable from a complete one. Nothing missing has been substituted, imputed or counted as zero.

Form history
Sectional times
Barrier trials and jump-outs
Stewards reports
Market observations
Course configuration
Going history
Pedigree. Unavailable.
Jockey record. Unavailable.
Trainer record. Unavailable.
Weight and handicap. Unavailable.
Track bias measurements. Unavailable.

Provenance

When this answer was assembled, and how old the underlying data was when it was. These are separate facts, and showing only the first would let a cached response read as current.

Source: Deterministic demonstration data. Not a live source.
Answer assembled: 2026-08-01T04:30:00.000Z
Underlying data last updated: 2026-08-01T04:24:00.000Z — 6 minutes old
Data state: Partial data. Some evidence families were unavailable. The missing families are listed by name; none has been imputed.

Regions excluded from this answer, each with the recorded reason. An excluded region is a fact about coverage, not an empty space:

Singapore — The upstream source returned repeated 504 responses. Three retries were exhausted; the region is recorded as failed with its reason rather than silently omitted. Nothing is shown for it, because nothing was retrieved.
Korea — No fixtures scheduled for this date. The region was attempted and returned an empty set — this is an absence of racing, not a failure to look, and the two are recorded differently.
India — No entitled source family serves this region. The endpoints are registered and are never called, so no attempt was made — which is different again from an attempt that returned nothing.