Horse record · AWE archive

Probability Theory

B 3 year Filly · Sire Microphone · Dam Actuarial

Career

6: 4 - 5

Wins

67%

Places

83%

Prize money

$79,750

Won at

1000mm, 1200mm, 1300mm

Last run

60 days ago

Track

1: 0 - 0

Distance

1: 0 - 0

Trk & Dist

1: 0 - 0

Class

1: 0 - 0

1st up

1: 0 - 1

2nd up

1: 1 - 1

Firm

0: 0 - 0

Good

3: 2 - 2

Soft

3: 2 - 3

Heavy

0: 0 - 0

Last 20 starts (x = spell)

211117

Form trend (wins at top)

Finishing position, oldest → latest

Form history

Plcg	Venue	Date	Dist	Track	Class	Jockey (Br)	Wgt	Odds	Winner / 2nd	Mgn	Time
7	Doomben	2026-05-23	2000m	Good	Group 2	R.King (9)	56.5kg	8.00	Fireball Miss	3.55L	2:06.18
Jumped Ok comf Went Forward Settled Down 2nd Outside 1 Lengths x 1400m, No Pace On = run to suit , Turning for home Two Wide of 4, sprint home Weakened to the line had its chance - # had all favours
SCR	Doomben	2026-05-23	1600m	Soft	Group 3	B.E.Thompson (9)	53.5kg	—	Pinito	—	1:36.54
Promising filly who's scored well at both runs back from a break. Fitter for them and can continue to progress.
SCR	Doomben	2026-05-16	1600m	Soft	Listed	— (2)	54kg	—	War Eternal	—	1:36.92
Promising filly who's scored well at both runs back from a break. Fitter for them and can continue to progress.
1	Royal Randwick	2026-05-15	1200m	Soft	OPEN-BT	T.Berry	—	—	2nd: Shangri La Impact	—	1:15.16
1	Kensington	2026-04-27	1300m	Good	MIDWAY BM72	R.King (2)	57kg	3.40	2nd: Phyxius	—	1:16.01
Jumped Fast Restrained Took sit Settled Down Run Of Race 4th/3rd Inside 2 Lengths into Clear @ 400m ran Leader down x 125m, kept on to the line - # Sound Effort
SCR	Royal Randwick	2026-04-25	1400m	Good	3&4Y BM72	— (2)	55.5kg	—	Enamorada	—	1:21.92
Promising filly who looks capable of going through the grades this time in. Neat return win and makes plenty of appeal.
SCR	Royal Randwick	2026-04-11	1400m	Good	Listed	J.L.Melham (7)	53kg	—	Beskar	—	1:21.82
Resuming (21 weeks). Beaumont trial winner. Okay in a strong form race before a spell. Promising, but check market.
1	Gosford	2026-04-09	1200m	Good	MID BM68	R.King (5)	57kg	1.85	2nd: Jacob's Ladder	—	1:09.89
Jumped Ok sat 2-3l off, eased 3 Wide turn, Straightened Up 1-2l off all clear, running on took over passing 100m and drew clear # had run/too good
—	Beaumont Newcastle	2026-03-24	1000m	Soft	OPEN-BT	A.R.Morgan	—	—	Just Response	—	—
1	Beaumont Newcastle	2026-03-24	1000m	Soft	OPEN-BT	W.Stanley	—	—	2nd: Spandex	—	1:00.09
SCR	Hawkesbury	2026-03-23	1000m	Soft	OPEN-BT	—	—	—	—	—	—
2	Wyong	2026-03-05	845m	Soft	OPEN-BT	C.Reith	—	—	Sapling	0.28L	0:51.40
—	Gosford	2026-02-27	800m	—	OPEN-BT	D.Gibbons	—	—	—	—	—

All figures computed from our own Australian archive; splits use this horse's most recent track, distance and class. Deeper backfill = deeper history.